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Investment Opportunity

The Numbers Behind Vanimo 2040

A $22–30B program, 16–21% IRR, three-package PPP structure, six exit options — anchored by sovereign-backed infrastructure.

16–21%
Project IRR
2.2–2.8×
Equity Multiple
28–35%
EBITDA Margin
6–7 yrs
Payback Period
FDI Entry

Three-Package Deal Architecture

Structured under the PNG PPP Act (2014, gazetted 2018), PPP Regulations 2023 and PPP Guidelines 2024.

Package A

Airport O&M Concession

Operations & Maintenance concession for international airport facilities — aero and non-aero revenues.

Term: 10–15 years
Package B

Cargo Terminal DBFOM / BOT

Design-Build-Finance-Operate-Maintain (or BOT) for the cargo and logistics terminal.

Term: 15–25 years
Package C

Landside Real Estate

Long-term land lease for logistics, hospitality and retail development — real estate, hospitality and retail.

Term: Long-term lease
Returns

Capital Requirements & Annual Revenue

15-Year CAPEX Breakdown

ComponentCAPEX
Public Infrastructure$16–24B
Airport Development$2.2–2.5B
Airline Investment$1.2–1.5B
Private Real Estate & Tourism$1.46B
Total$22–30B

Annual Revenue Streams (Stabilised)

StreamRange
Residential Sales$180–220M
Residential Rentals$40–60M
Retail Leasing$50–70M
Tourism & Hospitality$80–100M
Airline-linked Revenue$30–50M
Ancillary Income$10–20M
Total Annual$400–500M
Funding Stack

How the Capital is Layered

Layer 1

Sovereign Partnership

Government lands, trunk infrastructure, PPP framework — de-risks private capital.

Layer 2

PPP Concessions

Port, airport and SEZ concessions; long-term land leases; tourism concessions.

Layer 3

Equity & Debt

FDI equity, project finance, bilateral & multilateral support, carbon credits.

Exit Options

Six Paths to Liquidity

Typical exit timeline 7–10 years · target equity multiple 2.2–2.8× · IRR 16–21%.

Strata Sales

Direct sales of residential units and retail spaces to end-users — immediate capital returns.

REIT-Style Yield

Income-generating asset REIT, ongoing dividends, portfolio liquidity.

Strategic Sale

Sale to regional hospitality or infrastructure funds seeking Asia-Pacific exposure.

Partial Exit

Exit post Phase 2 while retaining upside in Phase 3 developments.

IPO

Airport / airline SPVs listing on regional exchanges — full market-based liquidity.

Sovereign Fund Buy-Out

Acquisition by sovereign or pension funds seeking long-term infrastructure exposure.

Vanimo 2040 — a once-in-a-generation opportunity.

Diversified revenue. City-building approach. De-risked by public investment. Replicable across PNG coastal cities. Early-mover advantage in Asia-Pacific's next growth corridor.

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